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Gateway to Spring

Gateway to Spring

Joujou Chawla and Compass
 
As the world turns another page in its calendar, we embrace the arrival of March with open arms and hearts full of anticipation. With each new month comes renewed hope, fresh opportunities, and the promise of exciting adventures ahead.
 
March, the gateway to spring, brings with it the promise of blooming flowers, warmer days, and the gentle whispers of change in the air. It’s a time to shed the layers of winter and embrace the vibrant energy that comes with the awakening of nature.
 
Wishing you a great day ahead, may you achieve whatever you have planned for today and the rest of the year.
 
Please do not hesitate to reach out if you have any questions about navigating the Spring market.
 
(510) 406-4836
 
[email protected]
 
Joujou Chawla standing in a red patterned jacket.
 
Compass Curated Issue 6 magazine featuring a seaside terrace with ocean views.
 

Our Featured Properties:

Modern stone-and-glass home at dusk, framed by a landscaped garden and reflective pond.
 

81 Eagle Ridge Place, Blackhawk | Behring Estate | Offered at $24,998,000

 
Covered patio with wood seating, fireplace, built-in grill, and pool overlooking rolling hills at dusk.
 

4456 Deer Ridge Road, Blackhawk | Offered at $5,999,800

 
Aerial view of homes in a green valley beneath wooded mountains, with a broad lawn in the foreground.
 

10 Margaret Lane, Danville | Offered $4,500,000

 
Gray multi-gabled house at dusk, with glowing windows, a landscaped lawn, and a walkway to the front door.
 

SOLD - Represented Seller | 73 Turrini Circle, Danville | Sold for $4,495,000

Market Update
 
Market stats: Danville 33 sold, $1.9M average; Alamo 7, $2.3M; San Ramon 31, $1.5M.
 
Compass National Real Estate Insights, February 2024, with a modern kitchen cover image.
 
Compass report highlights national housing market trends, including prices, sales, new listings, and seasonal changes.
 
Interest rates are well below those seen late last year, but have started ticking up in mid-February.
 
Chart of 30-year fixed mortgage rates, peaking near 7.8% in October 2023 and showing a 6.9% average in February 2024.
 
Through February 22nd, stock markets have continued to rebound dramatically, deeply impacting household wealth – especially among more affluent buyers.
 
S&P 500 index chart from 2014 to February 2024, highlighting the pandemic dip and new all-time high.
 
Having plunged from its peak in mid-2022, the inflation rate has not dropped as quickly as expected in recent months, a big factor in mortgage interest rates.
 
Chart comparing monthly all-items and core CPI inflation from 2021 through January 2024.
 
As a percentage of total sales, the share of transactions being completed by buyers paying all cash has continued to climb.
 
Bar chart showing all-cash buyer share reaching 32% in January 2024, its highest point in almost 10 years.
 
Median home sales prices rise and fall to seasonal supply and demand dynamics, and January prices mostly reflect the slow December market. Still, U.S. house and condo/co-op prices were up 5% & 5.7% respectively year-over-year.
 
Chart of U.S. median single-family home sale prices from 2019 to January 2024, showing seasonal trends.
 
Chart of U.S. median condo and co-op prices, January 2019–January 2024, rising overall to $339,400.
 
National house-price appreciation rates over various periods since 1990.
 
Chart of national home price appreciation, with blue bars showing gains from 5% since 2023 to 297% since 1990.
 
Home sales by price segment: Higher-price segments have recently seen by far the largest year-over-year increases in sales.
 
Pie chart of January 2024 home sales by price: $250,000–$500,000 is the largest segment at 44%.
 
Median house prices in selected U.S. metro areas. “Metro areas” typically consist of large, multi-county regions.
 
Chart of 2023 median house sale prices across selected U.S. metro areas, from San Jose at $1,765,000 to Pittsburgh at $216,300.
 
And a look at the approximate income required to buy a median-priced house in various U.S. metro areas, based on a 20% downpayment.
 
Bar chart comparing qualifying income needed to buy a median-priced home across U.S. metro areas in Q4 2023.
 
As the new year’s market wakes up, the number of new listings is spiking, but, so far in 2024, not enough to meet the acceleration in buyer demand. Since mid-2022, listing activity has plummeted due to the mortgage lock-in effect, but many analysts predict higher listing volumes this year.
 
Chart of new listings from 2020 to 2024, showing seasonal peaks in May or June and lows each December.
 
Months-Supply-of-Inventory measures supply as compared to demand: The lower the MSI, the more heated and competitive the market. During the pandemic boom, soaring demand dropped MSI to historic lows; since mid-2022, the plunge in listings has been the main factor in keeping MSI so low by historical standards.
 
Chart of U.S. months supply of inventory from 2000 to 2023, peaking during the 2008–2009 recession.
 
January sales volume reflects the very slow market of December, but moving into spring, the monthly number of sales should begin rising quickly. Click on the image below for our overview report on market seasonality.
 
Line chart of monthly U.S. home sales, January 2020–January 2024, with summer peaks and winter lows.
 
Strong demand vs. an inadequate supply of homes for sale, plus higher interest rates, have severely impacted housing affordability.
 
Chart of U.S. housing affordability from 1989 to 2023, with a sharp decline in affordability in 2022–2023.
 
FEMA evaluates social and economic risk against 18 different natural hazards, including floods, wildfires, earthquakes & hurricanes. Click on the image below to review a series of FEMA’s Risk Index maps.
 
FEMA map of U.S. county risk ratings for 18 natural hazards, with a color-coded legend.
 
A limited illustration of Census data regarding U.S. population diversity. People have come and continue to arrive from every country across the globe – which is another significant factor in many regional housing markets.
 
Infographic showing U.S. population breakdown by race and ancestry, with a pie chart and ancestry tables.
 
Compass infographic on mortgage lock-in, aging homeowners, population growth, and declining home listings.
 
Did You Know with Leonard Steinberg
 
  • Is there a Shell, Mobil, etc gas station close to you? Now the next ‘gas/power’ station is, TESLA, as it opens its charging stations to Ford and other EVs. (CNBC)

  • In 2018, corporate tax rates were cut (long overdue as the US’s 35% corporate tax rate was noncompetitive globally), now, 5 years later, the reality: of 342 corporations studied, the average effective tax rate paid was 14%, significantly lower than the 21% rate publicized. 87 corporations paid an average of less than 10%. T-Mobile, which was profitable each year, paid zero taxes. Netflix and Nike were amongst the lowest taxed too. Bank of America made $138 billion in profits between 2018 and 2022 and paid $5.3 billion in federal taxes, an effective rate of 3.8%. (Institute of Taxation and Economic Policy)

  • Is a Whole Foods Market Daily Shop coming to your hood? These new, smaller Whole Foods will range between 7,000 -14,000sf – a fraction of Whole Foods stores, which average about 40,000sf. The first one comes to the Upper East Side in NYC where 5 leases have already been signed.

  • What is the happiest city in the US? According to WalletHub here are the TOP 10, based on Emotional and physical well-being, Income and employment, and Community and environment:

    • Fremont, Calif. (Fremont has the country’s lowest separation and divorce rate, at only 8.9% and the highest earning middle class)

    • Overland Park, Kan. (lowest poverty rate in the US)

    • San Jose, Calif.

    • Madison, Wis.

    • Irvine, Calif.

    • Honolulu, Hawaii

    • San Francisco, Calif.

    • Pearl City, Hawaii

    • Columbia, Md.

    • Scottsdale, Ariz. (CNBC)

  • The wildfires in Texas and Oklahoma have already scorched about 2,000 square miles, roughly the same amount of land as the entire state of Delaware. It’s the largest fire in Texas history since records were kept in the 1980s. Over 500 structures have been destroyed and 110 miles of electrical lines will need to be replaced. 85% of cattle in Texas are raised in the panhandle. Meanwhile in the Northwest, up to 12 FEET of snow and 100 mph-plus winds. (CNN)
Please let me know if I can ever be of assistance, in any way, to you or your family, friends, and colleagues.

Work With Us

As the real estate experts in the Danville and Blackhawk areas, our team is committed to exceeding our client’s expectations, focusing on their best interests, and creating long-term relationships. We tirelessly do what it takes to list properties and get the desired results on both sides of the deal.

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